FX Victor Research · Weekly Outlook Sample
A reconstructed, anonymized edition of the Monday 06:30 ET briefing our desk ships to every Pro subscriber. Below: the macro bias, the watchlist pairs, three intraday setups, and the realized ledger at week's close.
Inside this issue
A one-page directional read across DXY, EUR, JPY and CHF — built from the week's calendar (CPI, FOMC minutes, BoE), the COT tape, and our 2.1M-tick sentiment engine.
Three to five pairs the desk is actively tracking into the week, with the price that would invalidate the bias printed in mono beside each line.
Timestamped orders sent to the inbox between 06:30 and 07:00 ET — including the desk rationale and the R-multiple the trade was sized to deliver.
The risk-off line we will not let the book trade through, plus Friday's realized scorecard — R-multiple, hit rate, pips captured, and the FX Blue audit reference.
Annotated chart · EUR/USD 4H
The chart below was lifted from the Monday 06:30 ET release, with entry, stop, target and the invalidation candle annotated exactly as subscribers received them. Black ticks are session opens; the shaded band marks the desk's working range.
Verbatim call log · 18–22 Nov 2024
Every line below was published before the market opened. Timestamps are ET. Every result was reconciled by FX Blue in the Friday close ledger (see below).
London fix rejected the morning low with a bullish engulfing on the 1H; Tokyo inventory still long from the prior week. Sizing for +1.6R on T1, runner to T2.
RESULT T1 filled 09:14 ET · +0.9R realized
WTI rolling over from the prior day's inventory print; CAD OIS still pricing BoC on hold into Q1. Bias, not chase — patience fill only on a retest of 1.4118.
RESULT T2 filled Wed 14:02 ET · +2.0R realized
Iron-ore bid has rolled; RBA minutes on Tuesday lean dovish on the household consumption line. Not a fresh short — short only on a daily close back below 0.6580.
RESULT Trigger not hit · trade scratch, 0.0R
Issue 187 · Realized ledger
This is the standard scorecard our desk publishes every Friday at 16:00 ET, reconciled against the FX Blue trade-by-trade audit reference printed below. Average pips captured per signal across 2023 were 38 on 4H calls and 112 on daily calls.
Realized R-multiple
+1.85
vs. +1.8 average member R across the 2023–2024 signal book.
Hit rate (3 calls)
66.7%
2 of 3 reached at least T1; call 03 did not trigger.
Pips captured
+94 pips
Net of partial close at T1 on GBP/JPY.
Audit trail
FXB-2024-W47
Independently audited and republished by FX Blue.
| Pair | Direction | Opened | Closed | Entry | Exit | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/JPY | Long | Mon 09:14 | Mon 09:14 (T1) | 191.42 | 191.90 | +0.9 |
| USD/CAD | Short | Tue 08:22 | Wed 14:02 (T2) | 1.4118 | 1.4021 | +2.0 |
| AUD/USD | — | Not triggered | — | 0.6580 | — | 0.0 |
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